Fan Picks Early Slate – CFB – Week 1
You have to give it to Fan Picks, they aren’t afraid to roll out a massive slate of games. We went from no CFB in DFS to analyzing a 22 game slate for the first Saturday of the season. Anyone that has already gone through all of these depth charts, and new systems, and defenses against the run, against the pass, against running quarterbacks, etc… knows that the struggle is real.
Without any data it’s even more work, and in the end Indiana may suspend Simmie Cobbs 30 minutes after rosters lock… this is fantasy college football.
We don’t have spreads or totals for games involving some of the smaller FCS schools, but here is a breakdown of the highest Vegas totals for the early slate Saturday. For those that haven’t already found it, we broke down the week one Fan Picks late slate earlier this week.
Our Favorite Plays for the Week One Early Slate
Fan Picks Price – $6,700
There are several options at $4,000 (see below) but at $6,700 we will have plenty of J.T. shares Saturday. Urban Meyer shows no sympathy in these early season mismatches, and Bowling Green has proven that they can keep pace with some high power offenses. In a 66-0 blowout of Kent State in 2014, Meyer left Barrett in for all but the final 3 drives allowing him to rack up 320 yards and 6 touchdowns.
Fan Picks Price – $4,000
One of the things we are looking forward to most tomorrow is seeing Evans run Fuente’s offense for the first time. We expect a ton of speed, and based on the fact that Sam Rogers, not Travon McMillan, was named the starting running back, the Hokies don’t plan on running the ball a ton. We will certainly have a Evans/Ford lineup in tomorrow’s contests.
Fan Picks Price – $4,000
Another minimum QB salary play, Prukop also makes his first start at a new school. We know Oregon is going to want to feed Freeman against a weaker opponent, but they will likely want to get Prukop rolling and comfortable as well. We expect to see a 260/2 passing line and an additional 50+ yards and a TD on the ground from Prukop here, but as a Ducks QB he certainly could go higher.
Fan Picks Price – $6,300
Jones is an easy play this week… Absolute cake matchup, running behind a veteran offensive line, and he’s a beast. I would be shocked if he didn’t go over 150 yards with 2 touchdowns.
Fan Picks Price – $4,500
What did we learn about Iowa running backs last season? It doesn’t matter who the starter is, they belong in your fantasy lineups. In his three starts last season, Daniels averaged over 130 yards and 2 touchdowns per game, so did Akrum Wadley for a stretch, Derrick Mitchell went over 100 yards and a touchdown in a game, and Jordan Canzeri was the top RB in DFS in the middle of last season. Daniels is a senior and the unquestioned starter here… like Jones, he is good for 150 yards and 2 scores here.
Fan Picks Price – $2,000
Not sure what happened here, we have known he was the starter all offseason… You have to take advantage of this pricing mistake, but his ownership will likely be 80% or higher. It may be worth fading him in at least one lineup, and going with a guy like Myles Gaskin that has a much higher ceiling, won’t be nearly as owned, but is 3x the price.
Fan Picks Price – $6,600
In my opinion Washington is easily the top receiver play in this slate. He’s currently our 9th ranked fantasy receiver in college football and it’s hard to beat this matchup. Don’t overthink it, play the best player in the best matchup.
Fan Picks Price – $6,600
Isaiah Ford put up monster numbers in the old Virginia Tech system… Imagine what he’s going to do in Fuente’s system, facing the Liberty Flames, at home, with improved quarterback play…
Fan Picks Price – $6,100
Fred Ross is one of those receivers that you just can’t go wrong with. Mississippi State doesn’t run the ball (Dak was leading rusher last season), they don’t have a proven receiver other than Ross, and he’s arguably one of the 4 or 5 toughest covers in all of college football. Mississippi State is projected to score 41 Saturday, there is no way they sniff that number without 100+ yards out of Ross.
Fan Picks Price – $5,100
With names like Davis, Carrington, Kirk, Chesson, Gibson, and Dupre still on the board, it’s hard to get too excited about DeAngelo Yancey. However, he is the clear number one in this offense, and I think he will get much better QB play out of David Blough this season than he did last year. There is certainly some risk here, but we love the matchup, Easter Kentucky will throw a bunch, play with pace, and score some points, but they are one of the weaker pass defenses in this slate.
Fan Picks Price – $4,700
Whichever QB starts for Michigan (looks like Speight) will be making their first career start for the program, in front of 110,000 fans. They are going to need a security blanket, and I think big Butt is it. Butt is not only the most talented TE in this slate, he has the largest role in his team’s offense, and in a slate with plenty of value available, we are happy to pay up for an advantage at tight end.