Top Targets for Fan Picks CFB Week Two Primetime Contests
While this 14 game college football slate may not boast the typical marquee matchups we can expect to see in future primetime contests, it does feature several big name programs and the familiar predicament of what to do with players on the winning side of a blowout.
Wisconsin, Alabama, Baylor, Northwestern, Ohio State, Ole Miss, Washington, Colorado, and Miami are all heavy favorites with spreads over 20 points. These slates can be extremely tough to judge and the results are often far less consistent and skill based than the slates we will cover once conference play kicks off. At any rate, here are our thoughts at each position.
Fan Picks Price: $6,700
I love these types of games, where we get DFS powerhouse schools facing off with an actual powerhouse. Both the Tulsa/Ohio State and WKU/Alabama games will get ugly, but it will be fun to see how these smaller schools, that are generally offensive machines, fair against defenses with NFL caliber talent everywhere. We gave Barrett as a target last week, because he is the Ohio State offense… They don’t run the ball consistently enough for him to not be responsible for the majority of their yards and touchdowns. He will easily hit value against Tulsa, and is the top QB value on the board.
Fan Picks Price: $4,000
We continue to have solid plays at the QB minimum across the Fan Picks slates. Our favorite for the Primetime set of games is Daniel Jones. Jones was unreal last week against NCCU, but will face his first real test against a solid Wake Forest team this week. We trust David Cutcliffe and the Duke system. Jones will have another big game as both a passer and runner, and is a nice value play for your non-J.T. lineups.
Fan Picks Price: $6,100
Webb will get the ball 20+ times every week in Derek Mason’s offense. In fact, we were shocked he only got it 20 times last week. He faces a Middle Tennessee team that can put up a ton of points. Vandy would be wise to feed Webb, and keep Stockstill off the field.
Fan Picks Price: $5,900
We generally don’t target RB’s in games that have lines over 30, but Northwestern never throws the ball more than 15-20 times per game, and Jackson averaged 25 carries per game in Northwestern’s most lopsided victories last season. For NW to get up by 30, it will take 120 yards and 2 touchdowns out of Jackson.
Fan Picks Price: $5,600
Given the physicality of the LSU defense, I expected Dare Ogunbowale to see even more action than he did, so Clement’s 21 carries were a good sign that he’s back to being the Badger workhorse back. As you can see from the box score to the right, it doesn’t take many carries for a Wisconsin RB to hit value in a game against a MAC opponent.
Fan Picks Price: $5,000
FIU somehow managed to keep Redding out of the end zone last week, it’s not happening again here. I don’t see how he doesn’t reach 4x value against a Ball State defense that ranked 116th against the run last season. At $5,000, he should have an ownership rate that approaches 80%.
Fan Picks Price: $8,300
Keevan Lucas is the only non-QB over $6,100 that we are considering in this slate. He’s a PPR monster that has never shied away from big games. Last season he had 5/84/2 against Oklahoma, and had 7/67 before leaving with a season ending injury against Houston. Look for the veteran to have his way against an inexperienced Buckeye secondary. I don’t expect a mulitouchdown performance, but a 11/110/1 is certainly within reason.
Fan Picks Price: $5,500
Simmie’s suspension (and the fact that it was announced after he had already locked) hosed us last week, but he’s back this week and listed as the starter. I his stead, Cobb’s backup, Nick Westbrook, went for 6/70… Simmie is an NFL caliber receiver and should have no problem shredding the Ball State secondary on Saturday. Just double check that he is active, because we weren’t able to confirm beyond the fact that he’s listed as the starter on the depth chart.
Fan Picks Price: $5,400
Cannon has seemingly stepped into the massive hole Corey Coleman left in the Baylor offense. As the competition stiffens, expect to see his numbers climb. Hopefully Matt Davis is healthy and SMU keeps this thing somewhat respectable for more than one quarter. If you get a full half + out of KD and Russell, expect them to go ham with some monster numbers.
Fan Picks Price: $5,100
After a breakout year in 2015, we would have expected more than 3/79 out of Shay Fields in a 44-7 Buffaloes win. Look for him to bounce back with a monster Nelson Spruce-esque performance against Idaho State, who was outscored by FBS opponents 132-8 last season.
Fan Picks Price: $2,000
We mentioned John Ross in our Pac 12 preview… He’s the real deal, and a big time pricing misstep. Should be 100% owned at $2,000.
Fan Picks Price: $3,900
Fumagalli was one of our favorite tight end plays last season. Not because he’s supremely talented, but because Wisconsin throws the ball to their tight ends at a considerably higher rate than most other programs in college football. With another year under his belt, Fumagalli should be even more reliable this season, and, at just $3,900, is the top tight end play in this slate.