FanDuel Week 3 Picks and Bargains
Week 3 kicks off tonight, and we have the top picks and bargains for the Sunday slate of contests on FanDuel. FanDuel removed the Monday night game from their biggest tournaments, so we will follow suit and limit our targets and bargain picks to the Sunday games.
Top Stacks by Value for FanDuel NFL Week 3 Contests
We say it every week, but every great lineup starts with a great stack. The stacks below are our favorites for the Sunday only week 3 slate of contests on FanDuel. Had we included the game Monday night, both quarterbacks would have made this list. I would consider Luck and Tannehill to be better cash game stacks (higher owned, higher floor, lower ceiling), but Bortles/Robinson is a better GPP play this week.
Combined Salary : $14,700
Projected Points: 43 / Stack Value: 2.93
Combined Salary : $20,600
Projected Points: 57.5 / Stack Value: 2.8
Combined Salary : $15,800
Projected Points: 41.8 / Stack Value: 2.65
Our Top Picks for FanDuel NFL Week 3
Keep in mind that our picks and bargains do not include players mentioned in our stacks. These are the top players we like outside of our stack.. they are the pieces that we are using to fill out our rosters.
FanDuel Salary : $7,700
We will fade Murray in the coming weeks, as Henry continues to eat into his snaps, but you have to love his current role and this matchup. Oakland has one of the softest defenses in the NFL, is giving up 105 rushing YPG, and Mariota is physically incapable of throwing the ball downfield… meaning tons of targets for Murray and Walker.
FanDuel Salary : $7,100
We have a projected ownership of 40% for Gordon, but that number may creep even higher. The Colts defense is a dumpster fire, and Gordon is now the lead back in what has been one of the most productive backfields this season.
FanDuel Salary : $6,300
The debate we have had all week between Sims and Riddick really boils down to the week 3 matchup. Both the Rams and Packers have been solid against the run this season, but the Rams were the most susceptible team to pass catching running backs last season, allowing nearly 70 ypg.
FanDuel Salary : $9,500
You can make an argument that much of fantasy football is about regressing to the mean… Brown had a monster week 1, but week 2 was a conference game, in the rain, against a team determined to keep him from beating them. Jim Schwartz is going to stick to his system, which tends to shut down the run, but be more of a bend but don’t break strategy against the pass. That is a recipe for disaster against Ben and AB, as they will work you over up and down the field in the short to intermediate passing game. This is a must use week for Brown.
Odell Beckham Jr.
FanDuel Salary : $8,900
Again, regressing to the mean… OBJ is due. He dropped what would have been the game winning touchdown pass last week. It would have put him over 100 yards, and 20 points on FanDuel. The quiet start will have his ownership levels down this week, and the return of Cruz and emergence of Shepard will just continue to create big play opportunities for one of the best big play receivers in the game. Winter is coming.
FanDuel Salary : $8,000
Three things you can count on here in Tampa Bay? Humidity, traffic, and Mike Evans getting 15 targets. The key is to target him in matchups with beatable secondaries. That is exactly what LA is, they run a great scheme, but lack the top end talent to cope with a player like Evans. This is another great GPP play as he is undervalued and will likely be underowned as players focus on the Colts, Dolphins, Packers, and Chargers pass catchers.
FanDuel Salary : $6,900
We were on both Benjamin and Williams last week, which will cool as their values adjust to their new roles. However, they will continue to be solid starts in favorable matchups. This is the third week in a row that we have picked on the Colts secondary, and both lineups cashed out in the previous two weeks.
FanDuel Salary : $7,500
We rarely give multiple chalk picks in one slate, but absolutely love this matchup for Reed. The Giants made a ton of offseason improvements, all of which we are buying, but we aren’t ready to say one of the worst tight end defenses in history is a matchup to avoid yet. Reed’s slow start, and the Giants hot start, will keep his ownership % down in week 3.
FanDuel Salary : $6,900
Another fairly chalk tight end pick, but you flat out can’t ignore what happened to the Raiders defense last week. They gave up 10/180/1 to the Falcons tight ends, one of the worst tight end groups in football. Similar to Murray, Walker is a safe play every week because Mariota has to get rid of the ball short and on his first read. Volume and matchup is the name of the game in DFS, don’t overthink it.
Our Top Bargains for FanDuel NFL Week 3
Here are our top bargains for the week 3 slate of games. We consider any player priced under $6,000 a bargain, so Phillip Dorsett would have made this list had he not been included in our stacks section. As always, bargain players come with increased risk/reward. These are GPP plays, that are not to be fully trusted, so try not to be overexposed to any one of these players or to have more than one of the RB/WR’s in any given lineup. I say RB/WR, because I consider Doyle to be a fairly safe cash game tight end this week.
FanDuel Salary : $5,700
We are somewhat concerned about the number of snaps he lost to Ferguson and Turbin, but Gore remains the Colts workhorse back on running downs. This should be one of the higher scoring games, and there is a chance that Gore gets multiple cracks at the end zone from within 5 yards. He had 2 multi-touchdown rushing games in 2015, and we think he picks up another here.
FanDuel Salary : $5,700
It’s amazing just how fast the fantasy world turned on Ajayi… He isn’t a terrible back, and put up a fight throughout camp with one of the better backs to ever play the game in Arian Foster (who is only 30…). We know that RB’s in Adam Gase’s system are going to not only carry the ball 12-20 times per game, but get 5+ targets in the passing game. Ajayi could be a nice bargain play in week 3, but certainly comes with risk if Drake is able to get the hot hand.
FanDuel Salary : $5,900
Again volume + matchup… The Bucs were one of the worst Def vs Rec last season, and find themselves at the bottom of the list already again in 2016. Austin has 21 targets in the first two weeks and just got paid to beat bad defenses like this. He did have 3 multi touchdown games last season, we expect there to be points in this game, and again regression to the mean… Austin is due.
FanDuel Salary : $5,000
The Giants have been solid through 2 weeks, but look at where they have been beat by opposing WR’s: Brandin Cooks and Cole Beasley. Crowder leads Washington in targets, and has their lone receiving touchdown on the season. If this game turns into a throw-fest, which we think it will, look for Crowder to hit at least 2x here, with easy 3-4x upside.
FanDuel Salary : $5,000
Doyle is our favorite name on this list. He will see some added work with Moncrief out, and this is going to be a high scoring uptempo game with a lot of possessions and fantasy points. We like Dwayne Allen, but it’s looking more and more like Doyle may end up getting the lion’s share of Fleener’s targets.
FanDuel Salary : $4,500
If Gates is out, Henry makes a nice GPP play on FanDuel this week. He is at the minimum salary, is a big red zone target, and with no Allen, Gates, or Woodhead, someone is going to have to catch the ball for San Diego this week.