Fan Pick College Football – Targets for Week 2 Early Slate
Top Quarterback Plays
Greg Ward Jr – $9,300
There are several reasons to love Greg Ward this week: he has the highest ceiling in this slate, his injury last week will keep his ownership % down, and he has a coach that is very much cognizant of his numbers and the fact that he is a Heisman candidate. In a week 3 matchup with Texas State, Ward played into the fourth quarter despite a 52-7 lead, racking up 365 total yards and 6 touchdowns. Even if you only get 250/2 and 60/1 on the ground (under his floor from last season), you aren’t losing because of Greg Ward and you always have a shot at one of his 40+ point ceiling games.
Phillip Nelson – $4,000
There are a few names in the QB minimum range worth some consideration… I like Nelson, Ryan Finley, Trevor Knight, and Deondre Francois. Of the group, I would consider Nelson the only one guaranteed to throw the ball over 20-25 times. While ECU isn’t the ECU of old (Blake Kemp went over 48 attempts in 5 of 7 starts last season), they are still going to be pass-heavy under Scottie Montgomery and Nelson was nearly perfect in this system in week one going 28/32 for 398 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has a crazy arsenal of weapons around him between Jones, Trevon Brown (if back from suspension, Ant Scott, Jimmy Williams and Quay Johnson. The NC State defense is tough, but Nelson will throw it a bunch and I think ECU is one of the better offenses in the nation.
Also worth considering: Hayden Moore
Top Running Back Plays
Matt Dayes – $8,200
One way to slow down that high powered ECU offense is to keep them off the field by feeding Dayes. Despite having senior QB Jacoby Brissett, NC State was one of the more run-heavy offenses in the nation last season. Look for them to lean heavily on their offensive line and the combination of Dayes and Samuels in what could turn into a shootout here.
Jon Hilliman – $4,300
His name may not carry the weight of some at the top of this slate, but Jon Hilliman is the safest RB play on the board in this early slate. He was 3rd team All ACC as a true freshman, suffered a foot injury last season, but looks ready to be the workhorse in the Eagles backfield this year. After going over 100 yards with a score against a stingy Georgia Tech defense, Hilliman may very well match that in the first quarter against a UMass team that gave up 200 rushing YPG in the Mid-American conference last season.
Rodney Smith – $4,200
As long as Shannon Brooks is out, Smith is a safe fantasy play. He will see the bulk of the work in a run-heavy Minnesota offense. We targeted him last week and he went for over 25 Fan Picks points. Obviously you have to love the matchup with Indiana State, and given his role in the offense, it’s hard to imagine this one getting ugly without Smith going bananas.
Duke Catalon – $2,000
Kenneth Farrow had 26 touchdowns in his final 2 seasons in Houston, proving a running back can coexist with Greg Ward in this offense. It’s encouraging to see Catalon get 100% of the RB work against Oklahoma, but we are betting Herman wants to see some of his backups in this game. He only has to get 8 points to hit value, but there is always a chance Ward gets 100% of the touchdown shares here and Catalon ends up with a 12/80/0 line. I would use him, but not assume that because he’s the minimum that he’s automatically the right play.
Top Wide Receiver Plays
Zay Jones – $7,000
Jones had 6 games with at least 10 catches last season, and the majority of his down games came with (now WR) James Summers at QB. NC State has an experienced secondary, but Isaiah Jones is too good to get shut out in this ECU offense. He is the most consistent receiver on this slate, one of the better receivers in the nation, and will be one of the top fantasy receivers in the nation if he can consistently score touchdowns this season. If Trevon Brown is active, he is always an intriguing play as he is one of the better red zone targets in CFB.
James Washington – $6,600
We gave Washington in last week’s picks and he was a major disappointment, but we are rolling with him again. Washington has an insanely high ceiling (2 games over 35 points last season) and you have to love his talent against a MAC secondary. CMU and Cooper Rush should be able to score some points, and the Chippewas had the 32nd ranked run defense in 2015 which should keep OK State from running 40 times again this week.
Jehu Chesson – $5,900
After a fairly quiet opening Saturday, the Wolverines will want to get their star receiver and young quarterback rolling this week. Chesson has world class speed, and plays in one of the better play action offenses in the country with a big armed quarterback. The result is a ton of big plays as we saw last season where he had 9 touchdowns on 33 receptions over the final 6 games.
Mike Williams – $4,500
It’s hard not to jump on Williams at $4,500 after what he did to Auburn (9/174). I think you have to have some exposure to him, but I wouldn’t go as high as 100% as the Tigers could choose to spread the ball around more to Gallman, Scott, Cain, Renfrow, and Leggett.
Also worth considering: Devin Gray and Nate Cole
Top Tight End Plays
Jaylen Samuels – $6,900
With so much value on the board, I think you have to play Samuels. He is coming off a season as the nation’s top scoring fantasy tight end, and put up 32 points in week one. Samuels is a touchdown machine… He scored on over 11% of his receptions and over 18% of his carries over the last two seasons.
Also worth considering: Butt, Gesicki, and Orndoff