As promised, player breakdowns are back this week. We are getting the early and afternoon picks out early this week in hopes that we will be able to publish the eve and late slate primer on Friday morning. There are certainly going to be late scratches, mid week depth chart shake ups, suspensions, and who knows what else as there always is in college football. Double check your lineups prior to kickoff Saturday morning.
Fan Picks Early Week 6 CFB Slate
Early QB Plays for Week 6
Fan Picks Salary : $6,500
On paper, this looks like it should be a heavy, heavy Marlon Mack week. ECU has been somewhat solid against the pass this season, but weak against the run. However, the only consistent player on the Bulls offense this season has been Quinton Flowers. Despite only having 62 completions through 5 games, Flowers has averaged nearly 300 yards and 2.5 touchdowns per game. Our modes have USF putting up 45 points on the Pirates this week, which would have Flowers in the 350/4 touchdown range.
Fan Picks Salary : $4,000
Kiel hasn’t been named the starter, but I would keep a close eye on the Cinci QB situation this week. Kiel is a player that entered the season as an early to mid round draft pick, but apparently had issues with the play book and fell out of favor with Tuberville. If he is named the starter, it couldn’t come in a better situation. UConn’s secondary is as bad as you’ll find in college football, and are currently giving up over 300 passing yards per game this season.
Early RB Plays for Week 6
Fan Picks Salary : $7,000
I never like to give chalk picks in these articles, but you have to pay up for Cook this week. Miami features the number one passing defense in the country, so you can expect to see Fisher protect his freshman QB and give Cook a ton of work. With 67 touches the last two weeks, we expect to see another 35 touches for 200+ yards and 2+ scores again this week.
Fan Picks Salary : $6,700
Hicks is another fairly chalk pick that I don’t dare fade in this slate. Kansas was the worst power 5 run defense last season, and they are trending that way again this year. TCU showed a commitment to the run early this season, but got away from that last week and picked up their second loss of the season. In addition to being the lead back, he’s also the 2nd most targeted player in the pass game and averages 5 rec/game this season.
Fan Picks Salary : $5,300
Notre Dame’s defense is struggling against the run and pass this season, but it’s been Doeren’s staff’s tendency to lean on the run against powerful offenses like Notre Dame. The Irish are 79th in the country, allowing just under 200 rushing ypg this season, and Dayes will arguably be the best back they have faced. Look for NC State to try and keep the ball out of Kizer’s hands with 20-25 carry game out of Dayes in week 6.
Early WR Plays for Week 6
Fan Picks Salary : $6,900
Jones is another fairly chalk pick. He’s the highest priced receiver on the slate, and coming off of a 17 catch week 5 performance. However, we expect the Bulls to jump out to an early lead and force ECU to throw the ball a ton again this week. The USF secondary is big and physical and should matchup up well with Williams and Johnson, so it could turn in the the Jones show again this week.
Fan Picks Salary : $5,000
The Texas secondary is going to cost Charlie Strong his job, and DeDe Westbrook may put the nail in the coffin on Saturday. The Longhorns are scoring a ton of points, but can’t stop anybody and are currently giving up 275 passing yards per game. That bodes well for Westbrook, who has been targeted on 27% of all Sooners passes this season with a 71% catch rate.
Fan Picks Salary : $4,700
We already discussed just how bad UConn’s pass defense has been this season, and if you are looking for a Cinci receiver to exploit the matchup you have to like Cole. Not only does Cole lead the Bearcats in targets/receptions/yards/touchdowns, but he’s been extremely efficient while doing so, with a 86% catch rate.
Fan Picks Salary : $4,200
We know this is going to be a smash mouth type game, but if Pitt is going to get to their 30 point total, it will likely be through the air. Despite facing Miami and Clemson in back to back weeks, Georgia Tech features the 31st ranked run defense in the nation. Pitt will need big plays on the outside, and Weah has been their go-to receiver all season.
Early TE Plays for Week 6
Fan Picks Salary : $5,700
Chalk pick, but you really can’t miss by paying up for Samuels. He has 7 touchdowns in 4 games, and given the state of the ND defense, we expect him to add another 70 yards and 2 scores to that total this week.
Fan Picks Afternoon Week 6 CFB Slate
Afternoon QB Plays for Week 6
Greg Ward, Jr.
Fan Picks Salary : $7,500
It was halftime of the week 3 Cinci game that we announce GW was dead until he started to run the ball in the red zone again. Well, 5 rushing touchdowns in 10 quarters of football, and he finds his name at the top of our target list for this afternoon slate. Vegas has Houston projected to score 5 touchdowns this week, and we would expect Ward to be responsible for 4 of them.
Fan Picks Salary : $5,400
Army’s defense looks tough on paper, but they are yet to face a team that can throw the ball. We are buying the run defense as a strength, but there is no way Cutcliffe and Jones can’t figure out the Black Knights secondary here and throw for over 300 after averaging over 300 over their last four games.
Afternoon RB Plays for Week 6
Fan Picks Salary : $6,800
Samuel is the RB version of a dual-threat QB. He’s the Buckeyes leading receiver, and second on the team in carries behind Weber. So, if Ohio State has a team total of 46, you would be hard pressed to find a way they get there without Samuels going over 150 total yards and 2 scores. Not only is he getting volume touches and targets, but he’s efficient catching 23/24 targets with a 15 ypc average.
Fan Picks Salary : $4,600
Hurd made a boneheaded mistake that cost himself PT and carries, and cost his team a touchdown. Texas A&M’s pass rush could force Tennessee to go run-heavy and allow Hurd to have the 25-30 carry game we have seen in the past. The Aggies are a below average SEC run defense, and currently allow over 160 rushing YPG.
He didn't drop it at the 1-yard line but this is almost as bad. Where's the awareness, Jalen Hurd??? pic.twitter.com/alj17CWzox
— Jim Weber (@JimMWeber) October 2, 2016
Afternoon WR Plays for Week 6
Fan Picks Salary : $5,700
Washington has made our picks just about every week of the season. You have to keep him in your lineups, simply because his ceiling is so crazy high. He won’t give you consistent 120 yards 1 touchdown games, but is good for an occasional 200 yard 2 touchdown breakout. He certainly is capable of having a big week against this Iowa State defense.
Fan Picks Salary : $5,000
We were all familiar with Dunbar and Allen heading into the 2016 campaign, but it’s the 6’0″ Bonner that has given opponents the most matchup problems. Because Dunbar and Allen are so dangerous, on the outside, it’s left Bonner in single coverage over the middle, and he’s abused opposing defenses. Bonner currently leads Houston in every relevant receiving statistic including: targets, receptions, yards, touchdowns, and catch rate.
Fan Picks Salary : $4,700
We were on Shelton last week, and will have him in our lineups again in this favorable matchup. BYU has been one of the top run defenses in the country, but is currently allowing over 300 opponent passing yards per game. We expected to see the Shelton we saw last week all year, but O’Conner has been terrible. Even so, I think the two have a big game this week and both guys are worth a look against this vulnerable BYU secondary.
Afternoon TE Plays for Week 6
Fan Picks Salary : $3,500
We are kind of picking on BYU at this point, but they have struggled defending tight ends, and Price is a guy that needs to step up for Sparty. Coming off back-to-back 6 touchdown seasons, we expect the senior Price to have an All Big 10 type season in 2016. If he is going to salvage that sort of year, it had better start in this favorable matchup.