DraftKings NFL Week 4 Primer

Cousins / Reed / Crowder
Combined Salary : $16,900
Projected Points: 61.5 / Stack Value: 3.64
Newton / Benjamin
Combined Salary : $14,900
Projected Points: 53 / Stack Value: 3.56
Rivers / Benjamin
Combined Salary : $12,800
Projected Points: 40.5 / Stack Value: 3.16

For the second week in a row, a trio finds it’s way into our top stacks for this week’s action on DraftKings. In our week 3 DraftKings article, we gave out Tannehill/Landry/Parker as one of our top plays, with a projected total of 62 points. They went for 68.66, and 100% of our lineups featuring those three players cashed.

This week we love the Cousins/Reed/Crowder play. We mentioned in our FanDuel article, that Cousins and Reed feasted on bad defenses last season, with their 6 best games coming against the 6 worst defenses they faced. This week they face a Browns defense that is giving up 19.5 PPG to opposing quarterbacks, and 50 PPG to opposing pass catchers.

Cam Newton and Kelvin Benjamin are in a bounce back situation against the NFL’s worst fantasy defense. The Falcons defense has allowed 109.45 fantasy points this season, 10% more than the Raiders who are second to last. Benjamin had what he called the worst game of his career, which had a lot to do with the Vikings and Xavier Rhodes. On the opposite end of that spectrum is this matchup, indoors, against a high scoring opponent with a really bad defense.

Philip Rivers and Travis Benjamin just sneaked into our DraftKings week 4 picks over Stafford and Jones, who made our FanDuel picks this week. Benjamin was 35% owned last week, but that number should drop slightly this week as he saw fewer targets than Tyrell Williams in week 3. Part of that lack of production had to do with game flow and the return of Vontae Davis, look for him to reestablish his goto role in week four.


Our Top Picks and Bargains for Week 4

Below are our favorite week 4 plays for DraftKings. Keep in mind, that we don’t list any of the players feature in our stacks for the week in this section. This is one of the rare weeks that we actually like paying up at the running back position more than receiver, and will play a RB in the flex spot in the majority of our lineups.

CJ Anderson

DraftKings Salary – $6,500
A workhorse three down back, in a favorable matchup, we think Anderson is currently priced under value on DraftKings. The Bucs allow the 26th most fantasy PPG to opposing running backs at just over 25. That is somewhat understandable considering they faced the Falcons duo, David Johnson, and Todd Gurley. However, given his workload and role in the Kubiak’s passing and screen games, we put CJ right up there with the names in that group. Look for him to easily hit 3x and find the end zone at least once this week.

Melvin Gordon

DraftKings Salary – $6,300
We covered Gordon in depth in our FanDuel primer, but this is a great spot to target him. His ownership % will drop this week, as he rushed for just 35 yards in a week that just about everyone on DraftKings used him. In addition, guys like Anderson, Elliott, Bell, and Ingram all have plus matchups and will likely be popular RB plays in the same price range. He’s our number one back this week, and faces a New Orleans defense that is currently giving up 37 PPG to the position. We think Gordon is the lock of the week at the RB spot.

Theo Riddick

DraftKings Salary – $5,200
Theo Riddick remains my favorite flex play on DraftKings. He reaches 2x value nearly every week as a pass catcher alone. Case in point, he faced the #1 RB defense in football last week, yet still went over 2x value because he caught 7 passes. Look for him to catch 5-7 again this week, but for his averages as both a runner and pass catcher to sky rocket in a much more favorable matchup.

Carlos Hyde

DraftKings Salary – $4,200
Let’s not go too crazy with Hyde’s week three performance. That game was over and a complete blowout before he got anything going against the Seahawks defense. That being said, you have to like him to at least hit 3x in a home game against one of the more overrated defenses in football. We think he gets to 80 yards and a score on the ground. If he can somehow find a role in the passing game here (Cowboys allow 5/53 through the air to opposing RB’s) he could potentially have a 5x game in week four.

Jordan Howard

DraftKings Salary – $3,700
This week’s bargain barrel hero is clearly going to be Jordan Howard. Given the number of key injuries the Lions are facing on defense, and the injuries the Bears sustained in their backfield, the rookie is suddenly a 3 down back in a favorable matchup. He flashed ability as a pass catcher, and even if he’s just able to repeat that success this week he will make for a solid value play.

Marvin Jones

DraftKings Salary – $7,300
It’s hard to make an argument for paying up for one of the top guys priced over $9,000 when Jones has a cake matchup, leads the league in receiving, and is still priced under $7,500. The Bears secondary is a mess, and if they can’t get a pass rush going (just 4 sacks on the season), Stafford and co could put up monster numbers again this week.

Will Fuller

DraftKings Salary – $5,300
The Titans front seven is one of the more underrated units in football. They are currently only allowing 14 fantasy PPG to opposing running backs. However, there is a legitimate lack of talent on the back end, and while Dick LeBeau has been able to disguise this through the first three weeks, they are still allowing 12th most YPG to opposing receivers and have allowed the 13th most big plays through the air. Couple that with the attention Hopkins demands, and I think you get some favorable matchups for Fuller again in week 4.

Kevin White

DraftKings Salary – $3,400
We are convinced Kevin White is in line for a monster week 4 performance. The Lions have half of a secondary… Darius Slay and Glover Quin are pro bowlers, but Slay is likely going to shadow Alshon Jeffery. That will allow White to pick on Nevin Lawson, who has given up several big plays already this season. We know the Lions are going to score and slow down the run, so the Bears are going to have to throw it. At $3,400, I don’t see how White doesn’t hit at least 3x value here.

Dennis Pitta

DraftKings Salary – $3,900
There are four really good tight end plays this week: Jordan Reed, Dennis Pitta, Eric Ebron, and Hunter Henry. Amerson and Smith have been solid on the outside this season, so the real advantage for Flacco and this offense may be Pitta again this week. We wrote a similar piece when we gave Pitta as a play against Cleveland, and he had 9/102 for 22 points that week. Look for Pitta to be busy again in this favorable week four matchup.

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